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Red33
31216.4
52515.5
Blue13
46210.8
50710.9
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282204060801003313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
312
Unranked
16.40.7
14.515.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
507
Unranked
10.90.9
11.010.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
525
Unranked
15.51.0
12.513.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
462
Unranked
10.81.0
12.211.2
Auto
Teleop
End