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Red43
87414.6
46113.5
Blue0
93710.1
31216.4
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21310406080100120140160430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
874
Unranked
14.63.1
10.813.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
312
Unranked
16.42.0
15.313.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
461
Unranked
13.51.8
12.514.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
937
Unranked
10.13.1
14.111.0
Auto
Teleop
End