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Red10
46210.8
8789.5
Blue36
76415.1
93213.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2221051015253035401036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
462
Unranked
10.81.5
9.88.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.3
764
Unranked
15.11.5
10.512.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
878
Unranked
9.51.5
10.79.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
932
Unranked
13.01.5
12.013.5
Auto
Teleop
End