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Red28
8798.7
94211.7
Blue31
31216.4
47613.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions252451015203035402831

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
942
Unranked
11.70.1
12.412.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
312
Unranked
16.40.1
13.213.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
879
Unranked
8.70.1
11.611.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
476
Unranked
13.40.1
11.511.6
Auto
Teleop
End