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Red40
31716.7
3413.1
Blue10
9068.5
35610.5
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2722010405060704010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
317
Unranked
16.71.0
14.615.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
356
Unranked
10.51.0
11.310.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
34
Unranked
13.11.0
11.312.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
906
Unranked
8.51.7
11.910.2
Auto
Teleop
End