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Red32
8789.5
1616.3
Blue19
52515.5
93612.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24241015203035403219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
Unranked
16.30.5
15.015.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
525
Unranked
15.50.8
11.510.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
878
Unranked
9.50.8
9.210.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
936
Unranked
12.40.8
13.212.3
Auto
Teleop
End