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Red45
9699.2
9679.8
Blue30
88110.7
8757.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24240102030404530

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
967
Unranked
9.80.9
12.113.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
881
Unranked
10.70.5
10.711.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
969
Unranked
9.23.9
9.213.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
875
Unranked
7.93.3
7.911.2
Auto
Teleop
End