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Red40
34313.4
31716.7
Blue25
819.0
94011.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292204060804025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
317
Unranked
16.70.4
15.515.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
940
Unranked
11.90.7
12.812.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
343
Unranked
13.40.4
12.212.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
81
Unranked
9.00.7
10.610.0
Auto
Teleop
End