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Red40
89215.4
46210.8
Blue23
93710.1
9068.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262004060804023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
892
Unranked
15.40.5
15.015.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
937
Unranked
10.10.8
11.510.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
462
Unranked
10.80.8
9.910.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
906
Unranked
8.50.8
9.58.7
Auto
Teleop
End