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Red32
1616.3
34313.4
86916.1
Blue10
64811.2
89215.4
44713.0
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463902060801003210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
Unranked
16.30.2
15.816.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
892
Unranked
15.40.2
15.715.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
869
Unranked
16.10.2
15.615.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
447
Unranked
13.00.2
13.413.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
343
Unranked
13.40.2
13.013.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
648
Unranked
11.20.2
11.511.3
Auto
Teleop
End