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Red30
31716.7
31216.4
17114.7
Blue20
87712.6
93512.2
93112.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions503602060801001201403020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
317
Unranked
16.70.0
16.516.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
877
Unranked
12.60.0
13.013.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
312
Unranked
16.40.0
16.116.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
935
Unranked
12.20.0
12.712.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
171
Unranked
14.70.0
14.414.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
931
Unranked
12.20.0
12.712.6
Auto
Teleop
End