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Red36
17410.3
38411.6
Blue31
28811.4
3838.6
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2121051015253035403631

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
384
Unranked
11.60.4
11.812.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
288
Unranked
11.40.3
11.911.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
174
Unranked
10.30.3
8.18.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
383
Unranked
8.60.3
9.79.4
Auto
Teleop
End