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Red32
7117.6
78116.8
Blue10
17513.9
70210.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332004060803210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
Unranked
17.60.5
17.017.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
175
Unranked
13.90.5
11.711.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
781
Unranked
16.80.7
13.514.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
702
Unranked
10.50.9
10.910.1
Auto
Teleop
End