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Red30
17615.7
28811.4
Blue39
54815.7
96712.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292404060801001203039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
Unranked
15.70.5
16.516.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
548
Unranked
15.70.5
13.914.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
288
Unranked
11.40.5
11.511.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
967
Unranked
12.10.5
11.111.6
Auto
Teleop
End