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Red21
3749.9
38612.3
Blue44
75313.2
36816.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions223004060801001202144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
386
Unranked
12.30.7
13.212.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.3
368
Unranked
16.70.7
16.317.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
374
Unranked
9.90.7
10.59.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
753
Unranked
13.20.7
12.513.2
Auto
Teleop
End