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Red30
71412.1
53510.4
Blue56
38211.5
16613.9
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242410203040503056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
714
Unranked
12.11.0
13.012.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
166
Unranked
13.91.0
12.913.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
535
Unranked
10.41.0
11.410.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
382
Unranked
11.51.0
11.412.4
Auto
Teleop
End