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Red40
96413.2
16814.1
Blue21
60911.9
96813.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25270501001502004021

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
168
Unranked
14.10.7
13.113.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
968
Unranked
13.00.7
13.813.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
964
Unranked
13.20.7
12.513.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
609
Unranked
11.90.7
12.711.9
Auto
Teleop
End