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Red20
54010.2
39816.2
Blue31
39913.1
60911.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2726101520303540452031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
398
Unranked
16.20.5
15.515.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
399
Unranked
13.10.6
14.114.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
540
Unranked
10.20.6
10.710.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
609
Unranked
11.90.4
12.512.9
Auto
Teleop
End