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Red28
54611.9
28410.8
Blue32
5826.4
37811.1
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24210103040502832

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
546
Unranked
11.90.3
13.713.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
378
Unranked
11.10.3
12.713.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
284
Unranked
10.80.3
9.99.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
582
Unranked
6.40.3
8.89.1
Auto
Teleop
End