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Red50
27116.9
17320.0
Blue39
17410.3
26911.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4016060801001205039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173
Unranked
20.00.1
17.617.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.5
269
Unranked
11.50.1
12.412.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
271
Unranked
16.90.1
17.617.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
174
Unranked
10.30.1
8.38.4
Auto
Teleop
End