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Red30
52212.0
28116.7
Blue42
60911.9
17615.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31280204060803042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
281
Unranked
16.70.6
17.817.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
176
Unranked
15.70.5
15.916.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
522
Unranked
12.00.6
12.912.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
609
Unranked
11.90.5
12.913.4
Auto
Teleop
End