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Red40
15912.8
40016.3
Blue53
27813.0
17513.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322101040506070804053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
400
Unranked
16.30.8
15.514.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
175
Unranked
13.90.8
11.312.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
159
Unranked
12.80.8
14.313.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
278
Unranked
13.00.8
11.412.1
Auto
Teleop
End