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Red34
81011.4
6618.0
Blue23
7916.2
16513.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292810152025354045503423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66
Unranked
18.00.4
17.417.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
79
Unranked
16.20.4
15.515.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
810
Unranked
11.40.4
11.111.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
165
Unranked
13.10.6
13.212.7
Auto
Teleop
End