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Red20
69810.2
95412.3
Blue34
28811.4
53510.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2222051015253035402034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
954
Unranked
12.30.5
12.712.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
288
Unranked
11.40.5
11.011.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
698
Unranked
10.20.6
9.58.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
535
Unranked
10.40.5
10.811.3
Auto
Teleop
End