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Red25
1748.1
10314.6
Blue15
2039.2
1369.2
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262004060801002515

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
103
Unranked
14.62.7
15.212.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
203
Unranked
9.22.4
9.211.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
174
Unranked
8.12.2
10.312.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
136
Unranked
9.20.3
9.28.9
Auto
Teleop
End