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Red55
10212.6
1369.2
Blue21
21110.6
5518.2
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions182604060805521

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
102
Unranked
12.62.4
11.914.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
211
Unranked
10.62.4
12.610.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
136
Unranked
9.21.4
8.39.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
551
Unranked
8.22.4
11.59.1
Auto
Teleop
End