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Red10
9512.7
66311.1
Blue39
119.9
8812.4
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242451015203035401039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
95
Unranked
12.71.7
12.510.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
88
Unranked
12.41.7
11.212.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
663
Unranked
11.11.7
11.09.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
11
Unranked
9.91.7
13.415.1
Auto
Teleop
End