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Red42
86913.3
17516.2
Blue33
8812.4
30313.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26265101520303540454233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
Unranked
16.20.6
14.915.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
303
Unranked
13.10.6
13.212.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
869
Unranked
13.30.6
10.811.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
88
Unranked
12.40.6
12.912.3
Auto
Teleop
End