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Red40
5298.2
8418.0
Blue38
6378.8
3014.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282601020405060704038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84
Unranked
18.00.0
16.416.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
30
Unranked
14.70.0
15.015.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
529
Unranked
8.20.0
10.910.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
637
Unranked
8.80.0
11.011.0
Auto
Teleop
End