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Red24
8812.4
5509.4
Blue44
22414.7
714.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2323101520253035402444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
Unranked
12.41.2
12.511.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
224
Unranked
14.70.7
11.612.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
550
Unranked
9.41.2
10.39.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
7
Unranked
14.30.9
11.312.2
Auto
Teleop
End