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Red21
34818.9
52210.4
4115.4
Blue10
75215.8
71412.6
67913.0
50%Model gave it50%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43431020304050602110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
348
Unranked
18.90.2
18.218.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
752
Unranked
15.80.2
16.216.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
41
Unranked
15.40.2
14.814.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
679
Unranked
13.00.2
13.413.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
522
Unranked
10.40.2
9.69.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
714
Unranked
12.60.2
13.012.8
Auto
Teleop
End