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Red10
39516.7
75913.8
199.1
Blue50
12112.0
33511.6
5748.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48260204060801001201050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
395
Unranked
16.70.6
17.616.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
121
Unranked
12.00.8
11.812.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
759
Unranked
13.80.9
15.014.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
335
Unranked
11.60.9
11.412.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
19
Unranked
9.10.8
10.29.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
574
Unranked
8.00.8
7.88.5
Auto
Teleop
End