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Red31
23713.5
35820.1
54912.7
Blue30
35415.3
57110.9
42114.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414402060801001203130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
358
Unranked
20.10.0
18.818.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
354
Unranked
15.30.0
16.316.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
237
Unranked
13.50.0
12.012.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
421
Unranked
14.50.0
15.515.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
549
Unranked
12.70.0
11.111.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
571
Unranked
10.90.0
11.811.8
Auto
Teleop
End