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Red30
65513.9
81011.1
Blue33
50512.7
23713.5
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions193004060801003033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
655
Unranked
13.90.1
10.911.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
237
Unranked
13.50.1
14.013.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
810
Unranked
11.10.1
11.111.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
505
Unranked
12.70.1
13.313.2
Auto
Teleop
End