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Red32
50512.7
67913.0
Blue20
6946.8
33511.6
69%Model gave it31%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30150102040506070803220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
679
Unranked
13.00.3
12.913.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
335
Unranked
11.60.3
12.712.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
505
Unranked
12.70.3
13.513.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
694
Unranked
6.80.3
6.15.8
Auto
Teleop
End