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Red20
8878.2
52210.4
Blue39
50512.7
33411.0
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions221901030405060702039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
522
Unranked
10.41.3
10.59.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
505
Unranked
12.71.3
12.914.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
887
Unranked
8.21.3
11.09.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
334
Unranked
11.01.3
6.57.8
Auto
Teleop
End