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Red36
37514.1
33511.6
Blue47
54912.7
23713.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2625010203040503647

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
375
Unranked
14.10.7
13.512.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
237
Unranked
13.50.7
13.714.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
335
Unranked
11.60.7
12.511.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
549
Unranked
12.70.7
11.712.4
Auto
Teleop
End