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Red0
7119.3
37514.1
Blue20
39516.7
54912.7
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23290406080100020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
375
Unranked
14.13.0
14.111.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
395
Unranked
16.70.9
15.015.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
711
Unranked
9.31.8
9.311.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
549
Unranked
12.70.5
12.713.2
Auto
Teleop
End