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Red24
50512.7
59612.1
Blue43
42114.5
35820.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2136060801001202443

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
505
Unranked
12.70.6
13.512.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
358
Unranked
20.10.4
18.018.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
596
Unranked
12.10.7
10.710.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
421
Unranked
14.50.6
14.214.9
Auto
Teleop
End