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Red28
6946.8
38015.2
Blue35
54912.7
3318.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions222004060801002835

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
380
Unranked
15.20.5
15.615.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
549
Unranked
12.70.4
10.711.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
694
Unranked
6.80.4
6.05.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
331
Unranked
8.40.4
9.910.4
Auto
Teleop
End