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Red45
71412.6
39516.7
Blue0
3318.4
7119.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29190406080450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
395
Unranked
16.71.5
16.117.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
711
Unranked
9.32.0
11.39.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
714
Unranked
12.62.0
11.013.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
331
Unranked
8.42.0
10.48.4
Auto
Teleop
End