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Red0
6713.4
6815.8
30216.7
Blue33
85918.1
46916.0
20112.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50420206080100120033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
Unranked
16.70.8
17.416.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
859
Unranked
18.10.7
17.418.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
68
Unranked
15.80.7
16.515.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
469
Unranked
16.00.7
15.216.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
67
Unranked
13.40.8
14.213.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
201
Unranked
12.40.7
11.712.4
Auto
Teleop
End