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Red40
97013.4
96412.6
Blue24
6713.4
25412.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions212601030405060704024

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
970
Unranked
13.41.1
11.412.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
67
Unranked
13.41.1
11.910.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
964
Unranked
12.61.1
11.012.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
254
Unranked
12.11.1
13.011.8
Auto
Teleop
End