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Red36
112.9
4517.2
Blue51
3069.4
4713.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2424010203040503651

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1
Unranked
12.92.5
13.711.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
47
Unranked
13.42.9
15.913.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
451
Unranked
7.23.4
7.811.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
306
Unranked
9.43.6
9.413.0
Auto
Teleop
End