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Red21
51912.6
31410.1
Blue33
498.1
85918.1
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2326010304050602133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
519
Unranked
12.60.7
12.712.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
859
Unranked
18.10.7
12.913.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
314
Unranked
10.10.7
10.710.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
49
Unranked
8.10.7
12.012.6
Auto
Teleop
End