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Red47
22914.7
65211.4
Blue35
29112.5
4517.2
63%Model gave it37%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322104060801004735

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
229
Unranked
14.70.4
14.915.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
291
Unranked
12.50.4
12.812.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
652
Unranked
11.40.4
14.414.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
451
Unranked
7.20.4
11.210.8
Auto
Teleop
End