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Red40
30216.7
54112.5
Blue30
97910.9
6957.4
69%Model gave it31%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30150204060804030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
302
Unranked
16.70.2
14.114.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
979
Unranked
10.90.2
10.310.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
541
Unranked
12.50.2
11.711.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
695
Unranked
7.40.2
8.17.9
Auto
Teleop
End