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Red26
80811.3
20112.4
Blue21
96611.3
3069.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242451015203035402621

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201
Unranked
12.40.3
13.513.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
966
Unranked
11.30.3
14.113.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
808
Unranked
11.30.3
10.811.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
306
Unranked
9.40.3
9.49.2
Auto
Teleop
End