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Red32
6713.4
89214.0
Blue31
4517.2
27412.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2526101520303540453231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
892
Unranked
14.00.0
15.315.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
274
Unranked
12.60.0
14.614.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
67
Unranked
13.40.0
10.710.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
451
Unranked
7.20.0
10.810.7
Auto
Teleop
End