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Red30
25412.1
4811.4
Blue20
6957.4
24510.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions222004060801001201401603020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
Unranked
12.10.6
11.311.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
245
Unranked
10.40.6
12.511.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
48
Unranked
11.40.6
10.110.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
695
Unranked
7.40.6
7.97.3
Auto
Teleop
End